After looking back through past divinations, I wasn't able to discern any particular pattern or rule to use to determine how long the chart should apply. At this point, I'm not sure where to go from here. My initial experiments haven't panned out, though that negative result is still useful data. Trying to explain the charts to others also led me to refine the process for rendering images of them, so that was useful too.

Oddly, this whole process seems to work better when applied personally. Those private charts have tended to be more spot on. One hypothesis, out of the many that are possible, is that Ogham is a more personal divination method and works best applied "locally" whereas astrology is a more impersonal one. (That isn't meant to be a value judgment of one over the other, as each has its place.)

Even though the predictions didn't work as well as I hoped, I'll still leave them up. Maybe I'll think of a new approach to try later. Maybe someone else will see them and find inspiration to build a better method.
Normally, I'd go through point by point and grade the 12/4 chart, but I think it will suffice to just say whatever period it was describing, it wasn't the last four months. It doesn't pick up a number of potentially significant events: the Trump indictment, the bank troubles, the turmoil around choosing a Speaker in the House of Representatives, the failure to find the leaker of the draft Supreme Court opinion in the Dobbs case. My mention of New START feels particularly awkward considering that the treaty seems even wobblier now than it did four months ago.

This leads me to think that I don't have the right timing rule yet. I'm planning to go back over past charts and try to see if I can discern any other patterns. I also realize that it's entirely possible there's a reason that astrology has been the mundane divination tool of choice -- other methods just might not work as well. Still, the only way to find out is to try and see what works.
Here's the December 4 chart. Digging into it, things look pretty benign, or even potentially promising.
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The December 4 chart has run its course, so let's see how the predictions held up. (The July 4 chart remains in effect until December 4.)Read more... )
Here's the July 4 chart. A few surprises popped up as I was casting it yesterday, so let's dive in.

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Here is the December 4 chart for the United States. At first glance it may look a tad pessimistic, but unpacking it I found it more hopeful than it initially seemed.
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The July 4 chart has run its course, so it's time to look back and see how the predictions held up.
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Based on the timing rules I've been using, the March 4 chart has run its course, but the July 4 chart still applies through early December. That means this is just a recap; the next new chart is three months away.
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July 4 means the beginning of the mundane year for the United States and a new chart. Compared to some of the recent ones, this one doesn't look too bad. Let's dive in.
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The way I've been interpreting these charts, the March 4 chart still has two months to go. Tomorrow's chart will layer on top of it, so I wanted to pause and check where things stand so far.

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There's a lot going on here, so let's unpack it bit by bit.

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January's brief reading needs only a brief review. In short, the chart was spot on, but my reading wasn't quite as good.

First of all, I predicted fewer assorted calamities. The last two months have been a good reminder that there's more than one way to relieve tension, which is where I went wrong in my reading. The direct way is what I assumed: relaxing the tension. The indirect way is for the stressed object to fail under the strain. We thus saw political tensions erupt in a violent confrontation at the Capitol, and the Texas power grid buckle under the pressure of a severe winter storm.

As for the courts, Chief Justice Roberts made a savvy decision. The second Trump impeachment left almost no one satisfied, but the Supreme Court managed to stay out of the way as the process ran its course.

So I'd say the chart is two for two, but I myself only get half credit for my reading. This is indeed a learning process.
This mid-year update has very few houses filled, so it'll be quite brief.

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Looking back at my predictions from July, originally I planned to go bullet by bullet, but there's really only one I have comments on: I misread the situation in the courts. From all the chest-thumping over the years, I bought into the hype and expected a contentious fight once Ruth Bader Ginsburg's seat opened up. Instead, Trump was able to get his nominee confirmed with little more than some jaw-jawing from the Democrats.

Following that, at the other court levels there was a wave of post-election lawsuits that were pretty much uniformly rejected across a variety of jurisdictions and judges. My reading back in July of a controversial court decision doesn't quite fit there either. On both counts, I think I missed the mark there.

Overall, though, I'm reasonably pleased with how I did. Tomorrow I'll generate the next chart and get it written up and posted over the next few days.
Apologies for the delay, as I had a medical issue arise. I managed to cast the chart on July 4th as planned, but I was delayed in getting my reactions typed up. Regardless, another July 4th, another year for my mundane divination readings. The last set didn't go so well, but let's see how things go this time.

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So... like I said, things have happened. It's time to look back at how I did with my predictions from July 4th of last year. It's going to be a rough ride, but I think I've learned something useful from it.

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So, things have happened. I plan to circle back in early July to evaluate how well/poorly my predictions held up. Part of the reason for making public predictions based on my divinations is to hold myself accountable and thus hopefully learn from my mistakes. As I've been looking back over my July 4th reading -- as well as other, non-public readings -- there's a feature I want to point out and briefly discuss as a general matter.

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Now that we have an official pandemic on our hands, I figured it was worth revisiting my July 4 forecast. I still stand by most of what I wrote. I expect the overall death toll in this country to be manageable at the societal level, though individual families will be rightfully mourning those who pass. I expect the stock market in July to resemble the stock market in July 2019 -- it won't be at the all-time highs, but it won't be Depression 2.0 either.

There is one new possibility, though, I wanted to discuss. Ur is loosely analogous to the Death card in Tarot. Yes, it can mean death, but 99.9% of the time it's metaphorical. (Indeed, I usually read Ur upright as burying/ending and reversed as uncovering/revealing.) However, in the context of a pandemic, particularly one that disproportionally kills older patients, there is the possibility that in this specific situation it could mean a death, particularly since it's paired with reversed Iodhadh (not lasting / time coming to an end). From its placement in the 11th house (lower chamber of Congress), my best guess is that -- if this is the correct reading for those symbols in this context -- it's Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi who's at risk.

I don't see this as a contradiction. It is possible for a pandemic to both have an overall low death toll but for some key person to die nonetheless. In the scheme of things we can still hope that the 10th house/11th house cluster refers to a political victory/defeat, not to survival/death, but given the unusual circumstances I wanted to at least flag the possibility.

Coronavirus

Feb. 2nd, 2020 08:58 am
Given the hysteria that seems to be sweeping some of the media, I want to clarify my July 4th divination results. This way, I'm making a prediction in advance in public and I can hold myself accountable for it.

Specifically, there is no indication that coronavirus will be a significant factor in the US, at least not over the time period in question (through July 4th). That does not mean there will no cases or even deaths -- it's just that they won't rise above the normal background noise of disease in this country. For perspective, keep in mind that garden-variety seasonal flu typically kills thousands to tens of thousands each year. At this point, even if all of China's cases and deaths occurred here it still would be a minor factor compared to flu. (Coronavirus's danger comes from the potential for it to grow much, much worse, whereas flu stays at more of a steady level.)

I haven't done any divination for China or other countries, so I can't speak to the outcomes there.
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