Coronavirus
Feb. 2nd, 2020 08:58 am![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
gbejmGiven the hysteria that seems to be sweeping some of the media, I want to clarify my July 4th divination results. This way, I'm making a prediction in advance in public and I can hold myself accountable for it.
Specifically, there is no indication that coronavirus will be a significant factor in the US, at least not over the time period in question (through July 4th). That does not mean there will no cases or even deaths -- it's just that they won't rise above the normal background noise of disease in this country. For perspective, keep in mind that garden-variety seasonal flu typically kills thousands to tens of thousands each year. At this point, even if all of China's cases and deaths occurred here it still would be a minor factor compared to flu. (Coronavirus's danger comes from the potential for it to grow much, much worse, whereas flu stays at more of a steady level.)
I haven't done any divination for China or other countries, so I can't speak to the outcomes there.
Specifically, there is no indication that coronavirus will be a significant factor in the US, at least not over the time period in question (through July 4th). That does not mean there will no cases or even deaths -- it's just that they won't rise above the normal background noise of disease in this country. For perspective, keep in mind that garden-variety seasonal flu typically kills thousands to tens of thousands each year. At this point, even if all of China's cases and deaths occurred here it still would be a minor factor compared to flu. (Coronavirus's danger comes from the potential for it to grow much, much worse, whereas flu stays at more of a steady level.)
I haven't done any divination for China or other countries, so I can't speak to the outcomes there.