Change, Continuity, and Calamity: Report Card

Looking back at my predictions from July, originally I planned to go bullet by bullet, but there's really only one I have comments on: I misread the situation in the courts. From all the chest-thumping over the years, I bought into the hype and expected a contentious fight once Ruth Bader Ginsburg's seat opened up. Instead, Trump was able to get his nominee confirmed with little more than some jaw-jawing from the Democrats.

Following that, at the other court levels there was a wave of post-election lawsuits that were pretty much uniformly rejected across a variety of jurisdictions and judges. My reading back in July of a controversial court decision doesn't quite fit there either. On both counts, I think I missed the mark there.

Overall, though, I'm reasonably pleased with how I did. Tomorrow I'll generate the next chart and get it written up and posted over the next few days.